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Unknown Secondary Effects Await from an Assassination in Iraq

On the approval of United States (US) President Donald Trump, General  Qasem Soleimani, commander of Iran Revolutionary Guards' Quds Force, was targeted and assassinated in a drone attack at the airport, in Baghdad, Iraq, yesterday.

The US has justified the assassination on the grounds that the general, revered in Iran, had his hands stained with the blood of fallen and injured US personnel in the region over the past years. Also it was tended that the general may have been complacent in planning future attacks upon US personnel. 

Iran, according to CNN, has vowed "harsh revenge" on those responsible for the assassination of their general. 

Tensions have been high between the US and the Islamic Republic ever since the time of the Islamic Revolution back in 1979. But tensions have ratcheted to higher heights ever since Trump took the Oval Office, in Washington, DC, and declared he would not recognize the Iran Nuclear Deal, which was agreed and signed between Iran and World Powers back in 2015. The Iran Nuclear Deal was completed to deter Iran's nuclear weapons ambitions and to broker some type of measurable stability to an already volatile region. 

The US reneging on the Iran Nuclear Deal came at a time when international monitors of the Iran nuclear program had confirmed that Iran was complying with its responsibilities under the agreement.

Amid heightened tensions, attacks on oil fields have been attributed to Iran and the US has launched attacks upon Iran-backed groups in Syria and in Iraq. Protesters earlier this week attacked the US Embassy compound in Baghdad and yesterday, Trump approved the assassination of general Soleimani. 

As more US troops are dispatched to the Middle East by Trump and Iran promises "harsh revenge", the Middle East appears ripe for yet another hot war.

While some intelligence analysts venture to predict Iran's response to the assassination, it remains likely that any specific state reaction might not be immediate in coming. However, there is a greater possibility that non-state sponsored reactions might materialize sooner over a very broad spectrum. 

That Soleimani was assassinated in Iraq, next door to his nation, offers some clues as to possible venues of any state action. Yet, the world wishes for peace and stability and not war, so maybe, just maybe, an intermediary could intervene as a mediator to diffusing present tensions in the Middle East.