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The World in 2016 - the Caribbean

If there is but one region in the developing world where peace could be expected at any given time and ascertained as true most of the time - that region remains the Caribbean.

Factors giving rise to this Caribbean normalcy include the permanent warmth of the tropics - complemented by pristine white-sand beaches, the flat-water turquoise Caribbean Sea on western coasts, the mystical rolling waters of the Atlantic Ocean on eastern shores, the spirits of refreshments refined from local sugarcane and the easy-going friendly smiles and hospitality of the Caribbean people, comprising English, French, Dutch and Spanish speakers.

What was written about the Caribbean in December of 2014 for 2015 remains true of the Caribbean in 2016 - general peace and the continued development of tourism with a minimal risk of political or social trouble.

Included in this category of the Caribbean are the nations of the Caribbean Community(CARICOM) - a 15-member organization, set up in 1973 to promote economic integration and cooperation between the small nations. These include: Antigua and Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Dominica, Grenada, Guyana, Haiti, Jamaica, Montserrat, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Suriname and Trinidad and Tobago. Also included in this category of the Caribbean are the CARICOM associate states of Anguilla, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands and the Turks and Caicos Islands and the CARICOM observer states of Aruba, Curacao, Sint Maarten and the Dominican Republic. The French speaking islands of Martinique and Guadeloupe and Spanish speaking Cuba.

Normalization of relations between the United States(US) and Cuba has underscored the peace of the Caribbean into 2016 and beyond.

However, as mentioned in 2015's projection, in 2016, small groups with some ties to extremist ideology, should be monitored from Trinidad and Tobago to Guyana.

Apart from a border spat between Guyana and Venezuela, political integrity questions in Haiti and the ever present security concern posed by the narcotics trade and illegal firearms, along with the often comical political feuds within and between political parties from St. Vincent to Barbados and beyond, the Caribbean will be peaceful in 2016.