That the European Union(EU) is unlikely to reach unanimity to prolong economic sanctions on Russia for meddling in Ukraine, thus affirming the uncertainty of the future of Ukraine, is a fair assessment of the realization of Ukraine's aspiration to westernization.
Sanctions have obviously hurt Russia, but not to the tune sufficient enough to have dissuaded Vladimir Putin and his supported pro-Russian rebels in eastern Ukraine from taking larger swaths of Ukraine territory, even under a ceasefire agreement.
Yet, a trade and economy wary EU, appears forgiving enough of Russia to possibly lower the stakes of sanctions on Putin when EU leaders meet next week at a summit. Present EU sanctions on Russia expire in July. And as Reuters reported earlier today, any new sanctions are off the table as EU leaders wishfully hope that a fragile ceasefire would bring stability to Ukraine.
Each ceasefire agreement including the present one in Ukraine has been broken already. For EU leaders to fantasize that Putin's actions in Ukraine have been curtailed, amounts to a farce of a high degree.
One EU official told Reuters: "...I don't think there is unanimity at all for the rollover of sanctions..."
Thus with no new sanctions and the possibility that some sanctions could be eased, Putin sits pretty in Europe despite Ukrainian woes. And while EU leaders could revisit sanctions in July, Putin could be playing the good actor then also as he wishes invitees to Moscow for celebrations of the 70th anniversary of the end of WWII. August will pass and the celebrations will end. Then the EU will witness the full intent of Putin's appetite for Ukraine.
In the mean time, Ukraine's uncertain future will continue on a day-by-day basis dependent upon the will and whim of Vladimir Putin and defenseless against any major incursions from pro-Russian separatists.