To the Ukrainian people who gathered at the Maidan last November, and who have withstood the natural elements along with the violence, the molestation and the wrath of their agitator - Russia, if the announcement of a peace that came this morning is real; I congratulate you. I commend your courage and your determination to adhering to your aspirations to westernization, to democracy, to freedom, to human rights and to the rule of law.
The BBC, Reuters and the Associated Press(AP) are all reporting this morning that Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko has agreed with the Russian Putin on a "permanent ceasefire". The news services are all reporting that both men have "...reached a mutual understanding on steps leading to peace."
If the Ukraine peace is real, it is fitting that it comes at at time when United States(US) President Barrack Obama visits Russia's backyard - in Estonia, to reaffirm western security support to the Baltics. If the Ukraine peace is real, it comes less than 24-hours before Putin's feared NATO meets at a summit in Wales, United Kingdom(UK). As I have repeatedly said on this Blog, Putin fears NATO, and unlike many other things, he understands the implied unmatched strength of the alliance which is yet to be realized in its entirety. Putin does not want to be the first to experience the resolve of such an alliance at its most efficient level.
And though a muffled celebration could be encouraged in Kiev today, Ukraine should remain apprehensive about any telephone agreements with Putin on the eve of NATO's summit. Is the "mutual understanding on steps leading to peace" over the telephone a ploy to deflect NATO's radar away from Putin? Is it a screen to dupe NATO into not making any sound security declarations in respect to Ukraine at the coming summit?
For Ukrainians, here's to hoping your peace has come. But reality begs questioning of the timing of the agreement. To this end, I submit that within 48-hours after the conclusion of the NATO summit, Putin's true intent would be re-revealed and Ukrainians could then determine whether or not the peace has been won.